A while ago we predicted a precipitous drop. What are you folks hearing? Are manufacturers open? Who? Are they repairing equipment? Is anyone buying?
I think that anytime people become worried about losing their jobs or become nervous about finances, and an economic recession is in sight, people at all levels except the very wealthiest reduce or postpone or cancel planned spending on hobbies.
Peter: "I also think they will find ways to improve their systems without continual gear swapping. " I don't think so. This is a hobby and an addiction. Those who have a hobby to swap gear, will continue to do so, as long as they stay in the hobby. This hobby has always been about moving along to most, irrespective of what their current set up is.
"They will ask more questions, they will experiment more, they will do things that lead to improvement and satisfaction." Again, their core nature will not change. Similarly to forum habits. You ask a lot of questions, while someone else lurks. If the person is asking questions today, he will continue to do so, else not. In fact, with visits becoming more difficult, search will become more superficial and cursory so those who like to investigate physically before buying will be less able to, and will have to do so more on reading online or video rather than physical store and audiophile visits. There might be a more gear demoed at home rather before purchase but the ability to do so is always limited.
Audiophiles will seek out solutions which cost less and improve the sound more, perhaps increasing demand for top vintage gear - I don't see the connection to vintage. Anything with good resale value might take more importance, except with the very rich, and that will include vintage or modern stuff.
Thank you Bonzo. Would you also comment on the rest of my post, namely the second half in which I write the following?
"There may be more discussions in audio forums about how to improve sound and the listening experience, and fewer discussions about the latest, greatest, newest components promising to take the system to the next level.
I don't know if this will be a good or bad thing for the hobby, but I think this current crisis will cause those involved in it, to reflect, reassess, and adapt to a new approach and market condition."
As a reasonably mid level part of the demographic I feel for me this is only the very first moment after a very considerable change and so people are likely just getting their initial footing with the new welt order. So this is a moment of reassessment.I agree with this Ron. My view is less about the industry - manufactures, dealers, reviewers - and more about how the customer will respond.
The industry was facing challenges before this. More contraction, consolidation, and adaptation will likely follow after this pandemic. I think the customer - the audiophile, listener, hobbyist, recording collector - will become more value oriented and seek out those products that best demonstrate performance versus price. This, in turn, may lead to even more contraction and fewer choices. Audiophiles will seek out solutions which cost less and improve the sound more, perhaps increasing demand for top vintage gear. I also think they will find ways to improve their systems without continual gear swapping. They will ask more questions, they will experiment more, they will do things that lead to improvement and satisfaction. They may increasingly build their own gear or support refurbishers/modifyers who have low costs and offer high value.
There may be more discussions in audio forums about how to improve sound and the listening experience, and fewer discussions about the latest, greatest, newest components promising to take the system to the next level.
I don't know if this will be a good or bad thing for the hobby, but I think this current crisis will cause those involved in it, to reflect, reassess, and adapt to a new approach and market condition.
Economically it may be similar to 2008 but it is NOT the same in every other way. All of you guys want to see and hear things before you buy them or have the importunity to try them in your home. This is not something that can happen with every product. Many products require set up and installation and are very expensive to ship and deliver. As a long term dealer and now distributor I know how important it is to visit a client with these type of products to insure that they are installed and set up correctly. I know I will catch shit for this statement but I know it to be true.like 2008 those hifi companies (retail and manufacturers) with the biggest fixed costs will be exposed and a few will not get through it. and newer companies that needed the audio show exposure to get established might get caught out before they reached an effective operating balance. i doubt many hifi related companies are due for any bail-out assistance to help get through this.
to me the question about the hifi industry will be what things look like a year from now. if the world economy contracts 10%-15%-20% that will be significant to how hifi things will look going forward. what's too bad is that there was so much positive going on, it's sad to see much of that likely blunted.
personally i was at my end game/pause point anyway.......so other than missing having visitors it's not much different than it would have been hifi wise. i'm now in my music acquisition mode and enjoyment mode. i have been mostly just digging deep into my music and finding some distraction.
Hate me I can deal with it and I have said this before and will continue forever. I have heard hundreds of high end systems all over the US and the world and very few are set up and installed to their maximum ability Period! This is what should make High End special and different and all of you as consumers should want to get the maximum out of what your hard earned purchases.
Peter: "I also think they will find ways to improve their systems without continual gear swapping. " I don't think so. This is a hobby and an addiction. Those who have a hobby to swap gear, will continue to do so, as long as they stay in the hobby. This hobby has always been about moving along to most, irrespective of what their current set up is.
"They will ask more questions, they will experiment more, they will do things that lead to improvement and satisfaction." Again, their core nature will not change. Similarly to forum habits. You ask a lot of questions, while someone else lurks. If the person is asking questions today, he will continue to do so, else not. In fact, with visits becoming more difficult, search will become more superficial and cursory so those who like to investigate physically before buying will be less able to, and will have to do so more on reading online or video rather than physical store and audiophile visits. There might be a more gear demoed at home rather before purchase but the ability to do so is always limited.
Audiophiles will seek out solutions which cost less and improve the sound more, perhaps increasing demand for top vintage gear - I don't see the connection to vintage. Anything with good resale value might take more importance, except with the very rich, and that will include vintage or modern stuff.
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