Bernanke: Fed would supply more stimulus if needed Bernanke lays out 3 options.

Steve williams

Site Founder, Site Owner, Administrator
Is it just me or are there others who are concerned about the federal deficit. Some fear a collapse in the market if the stipulated time date for resolution of the issue is not met.

From Google Finance today........


Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer, On Wednesday July 13, 2011, 12:53 pm

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Wednesday that the central bank is prepared to provide additional stimulus if the current economic lull persists.

Delivering his twice-a-year economic report to Congress, Bernanke laid out three options the central bank would consider. One possibility, he said, was another round of Treasury bond buying. That would make the third such effort since 2009.

Bernanke indicated that the Fed would only take such actions if economic conditions worsened and deflation re-emerged as a threat. Deflation is a destabilizing period of falling prices.

He also said the Fed was nimble enough to respond if the opposite happened. He said the Fed was ready to raise interest rates that have been held at record lows for nearly three years, should the central bank fear a greater risk of inflation.

"We have to keep all options on the table," Bernanke told the House Financial Services Committee on the first of two days of Capitol Hill testimony. "If we get to the point where the recovery is faltering" and inflation is dropping toward zero, then the central bank would consider the additional stimulus options, he said.

Stocks jumped after Bernanke signaled the Fed's willingness to take additional steps boost the sluggish economy. The Dow Jones industrial average rose more than 142 points in midday trading. Broader indexes also increased.

In response to a question about the congressional debate over raising the borrowing limit, Bernanke warned that a failure to act by the August deadline could trigger a major financial crisis. He said that if government defaults on its debt, it would throw "shock waves through the entire financial system."

The government reached its borrowing limit in May. The Treasury Department has said that the government will default on its debt if the limit is not raised by Aug. 2.

The Fed last month agreed to end on schedule its program to boost the economy through the purchase of $600 billion in Treasury bonds. But the central bank acknowledged that the economy had slowed in the first half of the year. As a result, it lowered its economic growth forecast for 2011 and said unemployment wouldn't fall below 8.6 percent this year.

Since that meeting, the government reported a second straight month of dismal hiring in June and the unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent -- the highest rate this year.

The Fed has said that temporary factors, such as high gas prices and supply chain disruptions caused by the Japan crisis, are partly to blame for the sluggish period.

Bernanke told Congress that the Fed believes those impediments should ease in the second half of the year. But if that forecast proves wrong, he said the Fed is prepared to do more.

"The possibility remains that the recent economic weakness may prove more persistent than expected and that deflationary risks might re-emerge, implying a need for additional policy support," Bernanke said.

Economists noted that Bernanke was careful to balance the possibility of further Fed stimulus with the possibility that inflation could become a problem.

Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said the Fed would likely hold off on further steps unless deflation emerges as a threat again. Ashworth said any decision would not come until next year.

"The Fed wants to wait and see if the drop off in economic growth was due to transitory factors and whether inflation drops back," Ashworth said.

The Fed launched its last round of bond buying last when deflation worries were increasing. The bond-buying program, which ended in June, was the Fed's second round of "quantitative easing." That's a term economists use for a tool the Fed can use to drive down long-term interest rates by purchasing Treasury bonds.

The topic of new stimulus was raised at the same June meeting in which Fed policymakers agreed to end the last program. Some members said the Fed should be open to additional measures if growth failed to pick up enough to "meaningfully" reduce the unemployment rate, according to minutes of the June 21-22 meeting.

Others expressed concerns about inflation and said the central bank would need to take steps to begin removing its low-interest rate policies "sooner than currently anticipated."

The minutes highlighted a division at the Fed between officials who are most worried that the economy is growing too slowly, including Bernanke, and some regional bank presidents who are concerned that the Fed's policies could spark high inflation.

Bernanke spoke to the minority's concerns in his testimony. He said that the central bank would be prepared to start raising interest rates faster than currently contemplated, if prices don't moderate.

The Fed has kept its key interest rate at a record low near zero since December 2008. Most private economists believe the Fed will not start raising interest rates until next summer. And some say the Fed won't increase rates until 2013, based on the slumping economy.

Bernanke was testifying after the government released a dismal jobs report last week.

The economy added just 18,000 jobs last month, the fewest in nine months. And the May figures were revised downward to show just 25,000 jobs added -- fewer than half of what was initially reported.

Companies pulled back sharply on hiring after adding an average of 215,000 jobs per month from February through April. The economy typically needs to add 125,000 jobs per month just to keep up with population growth. And at least twice that many jobs are needed to bring down the unemployment rate.
 
It's so wonderful being in country/state that manage themselves by bouncing from barely averted financial disaster to barely averted financial disaster, while politicians thrive, public extortion unions rule, and wall street pirates run amok unchecked.

Hoorah for what we used to be, and what we could have been, but wasted and threw away. Welcome to the new dystopia.
 
But by God the SEC got Martha Stewart for insider trading for trying to save $65k of her own money and threw her ass in jail. But all the real crooks on Wall Street that brought this country to its knees are still running free.
 
This "dismal" labor data will likely make the negotiations concerning raising the federal debt ceiling much more challenging. Large scale spending cuts or tax increases are hard to justify politically while economy is still on weak footing.
 
Riddle me this: Why do oil companies need government subsidies when they are all having obscene record profits at the expense of the American taxpayers? I don't get it.
 
But by God the SEC got Martha Stewart for insider trading for trying to save $65k of her own money and threw her ass in jail. But all the real crooks on Wall Street that brought this country to its knees are still running free.

Mark,

I remember my headline "Betty Crocker Convicted" ,what a bunch of bullsh*t. The Fed can funnel money to all their insiders on Wall Street though. What this country needs is a good ole brain cleanse starting with the head Bamboozler and the Bernank. It doesn't matter about QE3 except it will drive prices higher and deepen the stealth depression. Just look at Japan since the early 90's,that's are future as long as the stakeholders in this country refuse to take a loss on the fraudalent ponzi scheme they have created and the rackets they run. Ken Galbraith coined the term "The Bezzle" for the corruption racket created during the roaring twenties. We have the same thing now except we don't have Roosevelt to lock them up.
 
But by God the SEC got Martha Stewart for insider trading for trying to save $65k of her own money and threw her ass in jail. But all the real crooks on Wall Street that brought this country to its knees are still running free.

Mark, the problem is that there are so many that are culpable that you would need to build numerous new jails.:) It's a lot easier for the Feds to pour money into the banks and allow them to run over the poor man in the street, than to build jails...just IMHO:eek:
 
For those of you USA citizens, don't you just love to know that everything being spent is based on you continuing to work and thus your labor taxed...

And have you thought about what you actually "own", ie if you pay taxes on your property, even if you "own" your house, if you don't pay taxes you lose your property, you are taxed on almost evey monentary transaction, etc, our government bonds are nothing more than a promise that the American citzens will keep working and paying taxes.

I am not against taxes, or adequate government, but never before have I had the feeling that I am no longer represented as a citizen, but more like a slave of the state, which is subserviant to international conglomorates.

Things are well passed being pear shaped. I have never seen so many people who are actually angry about their government since Vietnam Conflict days.

Tom

Very true Tom
 
Well, I'm not sure our leaders are worrying about their own ability to live high. The first lady's recent vacation to Spain cost the US taxpayers $242,000. The use of Air Force Two reportedly costs $11,000/hour, and they used 47,500 gallons of jet fuel for the trip. Their trip to India reportedly cost $2 billion.

Nancy Pelosi's special jumbo jet reportedly costs $300,000 per commute between San Francisco and Washington, D.C.

The President and First Lady flew in Air Force One to tape a segment with Oprah Winfrey. I have a feeling I know who paid for that.

It's extremely disappointing when such a media furor is created over a problem that our leaders don't feel affects them. Ultimately, high-end audio and similar pursuits will be affected even more severely if current trends continue.

Lee
 

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