Microsoft Will Buy Skype for $8.5 Billion

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Microsoft Will Buy Skype for $8.5 Billion
By: Nicholas Kolakowski
2011-05-10


Microsoft plans to acquire Skype for $8.5 billion, making the VOIP provider a new business division within the company.

Under the terms of the agreement, Skype will transform into a business division within Microsoft, headed by Skype CEO Tony Bates. Skype will support Microsoft products such as Windows Phone and Kinect, and integrate with Microsoft’s already extensive communications portfolio, which includes services such as Lync and Messenger.

Rumors circulated for days that Skype, having delayed its $100 million IPO, was eyeing a partnership with another tech giant. However, reports pegged either Google or Facebook as the suitor in question, with a May 4 Reuters article suggesting—based on unnamed sources “with direct knowledge of the discussions”—that Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg was “involved in internal discussions” about either a joint venture or outright acquisition.

Skype previously found itself an acquisition target in 2005, when eBay agreed to pay $2.6 billion in cash and stock for the then two-year-old company. Four years later, the auction site announced it would sell a majority of its Skype holdings to a team of private investors for $1.9 billion in cash. By the second half of 2010, Skype boasted an average of 124 million connected users a month, and was reportedly trying to raise money for an IPO. However, that offering was delayed after the company appointed Tony Bates to the role of CEO in October.

Although Skype remains a recognizable brand worldwide—and claims some 25 percent of the world’s international long-distance voice-calling minutes—it faced rising competition from Google and smaller VOIP (voice-over-IP) services. In January, the company announced that it had entered into a definitive agreement to purchase Qik, a provider of mobile video software and services. Online reports at the time pegged the price tag at $100 million, although neither company official disclosed the terms of the deal.

While Skype will surely buttress Microsoft’s existing communications portfolio, some analysts aren’t quite so enchanted about the acquisition.

“Wall Street hated the deal when eBay bought it, and they only paid 1/4 of what Microsoft is now paying,” Roger Kay, founder and president of Endpoint Technologies Associates, wrote in a May 10 email to eWEEK. “In eight years, Skype hasn’t made any money, and even at the operating level, it would take three decades to pay out in cash terms alone.”

Other analysts seem more upbeat.

“Skype refreshes the Microsoft customer base with 170 million early-adopter progressive users,” Ray Wang, principal analyst and CEO at Constellation Research, wrote in a May 10 email to eWEEK. “Microsoft gets a social platform that accelerates its work on Lync. Microsoft will gain a VOIP platform critical for future unified communications.”

Microsoft will fill out details in a live press conference scheduled for 11 a.m. EST.
 
With my daughter and grand daughter many miles away, I was once a Skype user. I find that I get better quality from iChat, though, at least on my Mac. Maybe Skype will be similarly optimized for Windows. Or maybe it's just my expectation bias. :)

Tim
 
Pretty surprising purchase. I suspect it was driven by the fear of one of the other guys buying them. The negative cash flow will not bode well for MSFT stock price though I would imagine.
 
I'm loving Facetime but I'm obviously extremely limited to iPhone 4, iPad2 and Mac using friends. Skype on the other hand allows me to connect with everybody else. With this move, the telcos just got another wakeup call if they haven't woken up already. IIRC Google has already entered the consortium to lay marine fiber. VOIP remains a big thorn in the legacy minded telecom industry and there is still confusion as to how to monetize bandwidth usage on both sides. This is the biggest hurdle to unified communications. How do you split up the money pie between those that have the users and those that have the infrastructure. The definition of value added services remains an unresolved one. The Supreme Court will have a lot more on their hands as I do not see agreements being peaceful.
 
With this move, the telcos just got another wakeup call if they haven't woken up already.

AT&T wasn't the buyer, so I'd say asleep is the verdict. The time for the Telcos to awaken has passed. Now, is the time for the cable and sat TV companies to awaken. I'm not holding my breath...

Tim
 
AT&T wasn't the buyer, so I'd say asleep is the verdict. The time for the Telcos to awaken has passed. Now, is the time for the cable and sat TV companies to awaken. I'm not holding my breath...

Tim

In some ways the purchase can make sense but the price is waay up on its value.
For quite a few years now Microsoft have been developing/competing with Cisco's IP-VoIP telephony systems, to continue matching the development going on in Cisco they desperately needed something like this for its functionality design.

And I agree, Telcos should pay attention to Microsoft in this sector, I know Cisco kept an eye on them starting many years ago when a few of their VoIP/telco engineers were convinced to jump to Microsoft :)

Cheers
Orb
 
HI

I do find the 8.5 Billions stiff. I would assume that people more in the know than the rest of us or I, would have a pretty good idea of what they're doing.. That did not stop some realy rich and intelligent people to buy those worthless Home mortgages but I digress. To me the biggest hrurdle remains the revenue stream in this deal, IOW How to make money with Skype.. For people with Skype it is FREE and the quality is very good to excellent when bandwidth is plentiful .. A skype to Skype call to places like China, South Korea , Japan or the Scandinavian countries to name a few come clear and is the most secure phone call one is likely to make this side of setting VPN to a secured Voice Server etc ...all and it is free ..How do you make money off something that you give away??? eBay never could find a way around this .. Paying more for a company whose main products price, hence revenues* is zero ...doesn't seem to be the way either ...


* I know one can alwasy tack advertising upon this service and many are trying it .. How much so they make aside from Google? Difficult to answer but many would tell you: Not a whole lot!!
 
I used to always use Skype but it is not entirely free for out of country calls etc. For this very reason I have switched to Viber which is also VOIP "but" it is entirely free from anywhere in the world as long as both sender and receiver have Viber installed on their cell phones

Viber works with iPhone, Blackberry and Droid phones

www.viber.com
 
The key Frantz is enterprise collaboration alongside public consumers, serious cash from a business perspective for a telco manufacturer if they can provide the complete end-to-end solution for a diverse range of products-technology that seamlessly work together, and why this could be critical for Microsoft as they play catchup with Cisco, however the details are what could make this buy a nightmare for Microsoft.
Touching on this is the following brief stock analysis, but more details can be found on other sites:
http://www.thestreet.com/_nasdaq/st...ype.html?&cm_ven=nasdaq&cm_cat=free&cm_ite=na

Cheers
Orb
 
It's all about trade-offs. In the US, where there are unlimited data plans for cell phones, VOIP is "free" but that "free" is already paid for by the monthly data plan. Other countries have "free" incoming calls but you pay more for outgoing calls. It's like toll bridges where you pay only in one direction - it costs twice as much in infrastructure and manpower to collect at both ends of a bridge. If you're using VOIP to call someone in a country that pays for data, but not incoming calls, then the person you are calling is paying for your call to him. Infrastructure has to be paid for somehow - there's no such thing as a free lunch.

If I look at Skype - $860mil in revenue last year, $7mil loss, it is a good buy at 10x revenue and 500 million active subscribers. They need to find some way to generate less than 1.5 cents of revenue per subscriber per year and they will be profitable.
 
It's all about trade-offs. In the US, where there are unlimited data plans for cell phones, VOIP is "free" but that "free" is already paid for by the monthly data plan. Other countries have "free" incoming calls but you pay more for outgoing calls. It's like toll bridges where you pay only in one direction - it costs twice as much in infrastructure and manpower to collect at both ends of a bridge. If you're using VOIP to call someone in a country that pays for data, but not incoming calls, then the person you are calling is paying for your call to him. Infrastructure has to be paid for somehow - there's no such thing as a free lunch.

If I look at Skype - $860mil in revenue last year, $7mil loss, it is a good buy at 10x revenue and 500 million active subscribers. They need to find some way to generate less than 1.5 cents of revenue per subscriber per year and they will be profitable.


Gary

Have you used Viber? If so I bet you will never Skype again
 
Gary

Have you used Viber? If so I bet you will never Skype again

I haven't tried Viber, but I also don't Skype on my cellphone. I Skype using my plasma TV, home theater PC so that all the kids can see and hear their grandma in Singapore better. In the office, I Skype with the laptop, but don't use video calling.
 
If I look at Skype - $860mil in revenue last year, $7mil loss, it is a good buy at 10x revenue and 500 million active subscribers. They need to find some way to generate less than 1.5 cents of revenue per subscriber per year and they will be profitable.


"Profitable" is not really a useful test because $1 of income is not the goal for an $8.5 billion investment. Microsoft needs a superior return on the investment vs. deploying the cash for other businesses or returning the cash to investors. They will need to generate billions of new revenue per year (from Skype or related businesses) in order for the investment to make sense.
 
The key Frantz is enterprise collaboration alongside public consumers, serious cash from a business perspective for a telco manufacturer if they can provide the complete end-to-end solution for a diverse range of products-technology that seamlessly work together, and why this could be critical for Microsoft as they play catchup with Cisco, however the details are what could make this buy a nightmare for Microsoft.
Touching on this is the following brief stock analysis, but more details can be found on other sites:
http://www.thestreet.com/_nasdaq/st...ype.html?&cm_ven=nasdaq&cm_cat=free&cm_ite=na

Cheers
Orb
Hi

Since we are playing a CEO :) ... 8.5 Billions!! Cisco has a base. Cisco is likely the largest VoIP player in the enterprise realm. There are countless of applications on the Internet that mimics Skyoe. Granted Skype has a larger user base, yet $8.5 B.
it is sobering for many of us in the Telecom sector to admit that revenues from Voice are on their last leg. Voice is simply an application on the Web a low-bandwidth application at that. What does Skype brings that is truly different? Security? True but doable with other VoIP applications or services .. Heck it used to be that one could encrypt rather seriously a call from a Sioura ATA to another .. What if Google simply moves all its user to an automatic Google Voice account .. What if Facebook simply gets an application that does MoIP (Media over IP my own acronym) with anyone on Fbook? The limiting factor is the quality of the Internet link (assuming net neutrality) ...And this, is improving throughout the world ...
I am not sure it is the greatest investment ever .. Time will tell I have my doubt and I would not have done it .. Unles they are trying to snatch Skype from under Google or Cisco in which case it is just a case of not allowing the competition more advantage than they already have ...
 
... Unles they are trying to snatch Skype from under Google or Cisco in which case it is just a case of not allowing the competition more advantage than they already have ...

I think that's a huge part of it, and M$ can certainly afford it. Whether or not this is the wisest decision only time will tell. I personally have my doubts.
 
It may seem I am coming from a CEO perspective but mine is more engineer development (much more lowly hehe :) )and I can definitely say Cisco does not need or want Skype, I can say that quite firmly.
Looking at the summary link I provided earlier should explain why.
Cisco was aware of Skype even before it was available and if wanted it would had purchased then with some form of stock+cash option for the owners.

The summary points out a few key points, the integration with other products and software, and then importantly commercial businesses and their telephony exchange servers combined with unified communication.
As a very brief summary the closer these all integrate together and hopefully eventually seamlessly, locks in a pretty big cash winner for a manufacturer.
As an example of Cisco's approach (still much in development in some aspects):

http://www.cisco.com/en/US/products/sw/voicesw/

Microsoft possibly had no choice these days but to purchase it for its client base and also its underlying technology as very briefly outlined in the stock link given earlier..

Thanks
Orb
 

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