I didn't say unknown unknowns is fiction; I said it is used here as a false wild card to dismiss existing science in the face of data that doesn't agree with perception. I...well Amir would do better...could bring all the data in the world and someone could still answer that while their pet product doesn't test well, not everything can be tested/measured, and it sounds better than the products that do test well because of unknown unknown sonic attributes that cannot yet be measured. OK. In a world where all things are possible, that's one of them. And it could be that their favorite manufacturers are even making stuff that only uses these unknown unknowns for the better, even though they don't know what they are, can't measure them, can't engineer for them, can't identify them and repeat them. Their favorite manufacturers could just have incredible luck.
And we could all be living in the Matrix.
Tim
That’s not what what’s happening. If we can accept there are:
Known knowns: Ohms law, the four laws of thermodynamics, etc
Known unknowns: Uncertainties related to risk, the mechanism causing certain materials to exhibit superconductivity at temperatures higher than 25 kelvin, Galaxy rotation problem, etc
Unknown knowns: Disavowed knowledge or beliefs (torture to sustain public values) in Lacan, Žižek, et, al (Limited to social, moral and ethical research)
Unknown unknowns: “Black Swan” events, etc
then it creates a context in which to define the relationships one has to another within a given body of interest and research. This is the nature of the study of complex systems.
By and large, the quantifiable aspects of our audio systems are the known knowns, and while many of us, myself included, have only cursory knowledge of its processes, we seek greater understanding in light of the known unknowns, namely how our auditory perception perceives music when played back over a complex system (transducer/amplifier/transducer which currently is not capable of perfectly unaltered reproduction due to the laws of thermodynamics) in which its objective analysis was deduced with non-musical signals.
It’s the
relationship between the known knowns (Ohms laws, the laws of thermodynamics) and the known unknowns (the relationship between perception, emotion and memory) that is of primary interest to me, because while the objective elements of our audio systems can currently be measured, it still fails to tell me anything about how I will perceive it, as perception of difference is fundamentally different from judgement which involves memory and we are still mapping how emotion affects memory. These latter aspects are the known unknowns.
Ideally, we’d want to build on what we do know, without clinging rigorously to it, by questioning it and critiquing it, in order to explore the relationship between the two because a music delivery device has no purpose for existing unless it is connected to our perception of it. Yes, impedance/THD/IMD must be measured, but music must be perceived. Therefore, to discount perception as a source of continued research is to say the only purpose of an audio system is to produce sine waves and square waves to be measured objectively. (The three independent variable of music - time, pitch, amplitude - can of course be independently measured, but music as an art form is never the constituent parts separated one from another,
it’s always the relationship between the three that defines it from sound.)
Bear with me…
I find this parallel with the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing formula useful.
Adherents of the Black-Scholes ruled out extreme market events (unknown unknowns) because the option pricing model considered volatility to be relatively constant (a known(ish) unknown). In order for the formula to “work” one needs to input several known knowns (time to maturity, interest rates, strike price, etc) and only one known unknown - the underlying asset’s volatility. The trader must estimate this, and it’s the relationship between the known knowns and the known unknown that the trader seeks to exploit. But there was a problem with this. Black-Scholes assumed large events were outside of all probability. Therefore, traders using the model stuck to the same implied volatility level, with the assumption the option should have just one volatility expectation per maturity date, plotted as a horizontal line (a nice graph!). However, as Black Monday ungraciously reminded everyone, volatility is not and can never be a straight line, it’s much more a smile - an inverse bell curve. As we’ve continued to see, extreme events are very possible, but very unpredictable, and the effect of these events -
especially on models who assume linearity in real world conditions - is well documented, as is Long Term Capital Management’s spectacular implosion, of whom Scholes and Merton were on the board of directors. (Despite this, and the fact that they had simply rejigged existing technical and academic research including basically identical formulas, they got to keep their Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.)
Trading derivatives is to enter into a system of complexity, which itself has become more complex with the creation of synthetic variations. Scholes and Merton had BSc’s, MA’s, MBA’s, Ph.D.’s and Nobel Prizes. They were fine with the known knowns, and fudged a bit with the known unknowns, but never considered the unknown unknowns. History will not forget them.
How is this related to audio reproduction? Looking only at objectively-sourced measurements based on available data (the known knowns) and making correlations with the still nascent research into the neuro-physiological process of perception, emotion and memory (the known unknowns) is presumptuous to say the least. Personally, I think the relationship between the two has much, much more to be explored. And I’m fully confident robust, ethical scientific research can shed light on this.
Personally, I think discounting the unknown unknowns completely, without acknowledging the possibility they exist outside our current level of knowledge is pure arrogance. Do we know what they are? Not yet. But burying our heads in the sand and focussing only on what we do know isn’t going to get us anywhere, as foolish as it may seem to those content with what they can read in a white paper, even one based on Nobel Prize-winning research.