Coronavirus ...

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Excellent article by an actual expert, and in terms of discussing the overloading of the healthcare system a great antidote to the pseudo-rational nonsense posted earlier:

https://www.intellectualtakeout.org/article/coronavirus-mass-hysteria

If you click on the author in this article, he is obviously not an epidemiologist.

Whenever I listened to or read articles by actual epidemiologists the last few days they basically all say the same thing.
 
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Willdo Ed.
We offered to go shopping for our elderly neighbour today.
Her request was for 4 bottles of wine!
Makes self isolation go with a swing.
 
I certainly wouldn't ever want to make these decisions. Right now, noone knows what is best. Or even right. Least of all us. But I understand the Boris strategy. Is it right? Now you're asking.
Our prime minister was today asked by a reporter if closing the
borders, hurting some businesses when it historically did not
help fighting the spread of virus, answered that she would rather go
one step to far than not do enough ! That did shut him up !
 
Boris has now denied the plan is herd immunity. Now its purely managing/optimising one shot, and one shot only, at NHS coping w the coming storm.

You don't have to be an epidemiologist, you don't have to be a scientist, you don't have to be a medical doctor, to think to yourself that the "herd immunity" plan to maximize the spread of the infection as quickly as possible does not seem to make any sense.
 
You don't have to be an epidemiologist, you don't have to be a scientist, you don't have to be a medical doctor, to think to yourself that the "herd immunity" plan to maximize the spread of the infection as quickly as possible does not seem to make any sense.
It does if it's to build immunity in the 60% who'll get nothing more than a mild 24hr fever. And build time for the NHS to have max resources to deal w the main event w the vunerable 1% at infection peak in4 months time.
 
Our prime minister was today asked by a reporter if closing the
borders, hurting some businesses when it historically did not
help fighting the spread of virus, answered that she would rather go
one step to far than not do enough ! That did shut him up !
Is she prepared to go to a curfew style 49 day Wuhan type crackdown?
 
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It does if it's to build immunity in the 60% who'll get nothing more than a mild 24hr fever. And build time for the NHS to have max resources to deal w the main event w the vunerable 1% at infection peak in4 months time.
That will get most of the infections happening at one time, wiping out
your healthcare system, resulting in a lot of unnecessary deaths o_O
 
I think the ideal strategy is a mix. The at risk population should be quarantined, and extra efforts spent on their care, based on age and pre existing conditions. The rest of the population should be allowed to carry on the economy and do herd immunity.
 
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That's what's happening Ked.
70+s/asthmatics and COPDs/immuno suppressed, quarantining from Apr/May.
The rest of us can get on w it.
 
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I've seen no mention of this elsewhere on the site

John from Midland AudioX is reporting that Mik (108CY) is desperately ill with Coronavirus. His father Manik has sadly passed away

I'm guessing that like myself there are many here who would wish to extend their sympathy, thoughts and best wishes for the speediest of recoveries
deep sympathy...
 
financial trading talk. vix is volatility index. canting is oil mkt version of yield curve inversion.
Do these guys know what the price of a litre of milk is? Or that of a toilet roll?
 
Is she prepared to go to a curfew style 49 day Wuhan type crackdown?
No forced lockdown or draconian measures, just a lot of education/information and social pressure ;)
Personally i think we should reserve one of our smaller Islands for people that
can’t do without a restaurant or bar for a month. This will be mostly younger
people that think they are indestructible. Let them get the sniffles, become immune, non contagious, and then re introduced them to the general population :rolleyes:
 
No forced lockdown or draconian measures, just a lot of education/information and social pressure ;)
Personally i think we should reserve one of our smaller Islands for people that
can’t do without a restaurant or bar for a month. This will be mostly younger
people that think they are indestructible. Let them get the sniffles, become immune, non contagious, and then re introduced them to the general population :rolleyes:
There'll certainly be some winners and losers amongst our beloved leaders once this virus comes out in the wash.

But before NO POLITICS! appears, I've said enough...
 
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Well the Fed just fired every shot they had. Cut rates to zero and started QE.....good luck. Money won't solve this.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/f...-700bn-qe5-unveils-enhanced-global-swap-lines

"With all due respect to Thursday's massive repo expansion, this is the Fed's bazooka. It also means that after this, the Fed - which just cut rates to zero and launched QE5 - is now out of ammo, as "Powa" will have to cut rates to negative next and/or buy stocks outright for further monetary stimulus, something that would require the permission of "Boss". And since that is unlikely absent a total collapse in the financial system, we are now down to fiscal stimulus and US "puppets" acting in a "muppet" fashion. Which may be a huge gamble.

Curiously, in this barrage of emergency actions, the one which arguably was most needed, a commercial toilet paper facility, was missing. As such, it wouldn't be unthinkable to see the dollar funding squeeze worsen after the initial euphoria fades on Monday despite the launch of enhanced global swap lines.

The good news is that at least there is nothing more the Fed can announce on Wednesday, absent buying single stocks and ETFs of course, and as such all attention will now be on "Boss" and what additional fiscal stimulus the Fed can push through."
 
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The U.S. Federal Reserve just fired every weapon it has. Unlike during the financial crisis of 2008-2009, when the Federal Reserve took steps gradually, today the Federal Reserve fired all weapons at once.

The same approach is needed on the fiscal stimulus side from the politicians.
 
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