Norman,
I look at your numbers that you ran and then I watch this guy and it seems like such a difference in opinion.
Michael Osterholm is an internationally recognized expert in infectious disease epidemiology. He is Regents Professor, McKnight Presidential Endowed Chair in Public Health, the director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy (CIDRAP), Distinguished Teaching Professor in the Division of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, a professor in the Technological Leadership Institute, College of Science and Engineering, and an adjunct professor in the Medical School, all at the University of Minnesota. Look for his book "Deadliest Enemy: Our War Against Deadly Germs" for more info.
https://amzn.to/2IAzeLe
What his running of the numbers say is:
48 million hospitalisations
96 million cases
Over 480,000 deaths
If you watch this for the first five minutes or so I would be interested on your opinion. Just trying to get a clear picture.